Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.436101 0.503330 0.576538 0.662052 0.759070 0.865588 0.991263
2025-08-31 0.309580 0.398004 0.503913 0.639532 0.807946 1.009525 1.268338
2025-09-07 0.261329 0.363417 0.494395 0.673454 0.910375 1.211420 1.620953
2025-09-14 0.210841 0.313657 0.453530 0.655605 0.937516 1.313866 1.850667
2025-09-21 0.173776 0.274506 0.418834 0.637685 0.957372 1.402693 2.064105
2025-09-28 0.146213 0.243988 0.390841 0.623455 0.977512 1.489683 2.278017
2025-10-05 0.131119 0.229762 0.384238 0.638513 1.039703 1.639385 2.591290
2025-10-12 0.122070 0.223609 0.388735 0.670077 1.128432 1.833761 2.984203
2025-10-19 0.111402 0.213046 0.384479 0.686404 1.193583 1.995872 3.338513
2025-10-26 0.100596 0.200605 0.375341 0.693051 1.242612 2.135087 3.665473
2025-11-02 0.090002 0.186987 0.362371 0.691270 1.276486 2.251121 3.961742
2025-11-09 0.079727 0.172489 0.346012 0.681421 1.294864 2.341776 4.220999
2025-11-16 0.070690 0.159364 0.331024 0.673093 1.316188 2.440753 4.504888
2025-11-23 0.061168 0.143903 0.309822 0.650935 1.310497 2.492708 4.712124
2025-11-30 0.058883 0.143401 0.317801 0.685466 1.412523 2.741618 5.281848
2025-12-07 0.051649 0.130965 0.300149 0.667328 1.412457 2.805690 5.523540
2025-12-14 0.045346 0.119660 0.283433 0.649115 1.410146 2.864611 5.758568
2025-12-21 0.040139 0.110120 0.269308 0.634651 1.413627 2.933940 6.016541
2025-12-28 0.037736 0.107067 0.269138 0.649957 1.478903 3.125848 6.519067
2026-01-04 0.036677 0.107257 0.276330 0.682038 1.581556 3.397176 7.191199
2026-01-11 0.034652 0.104633 0.276647 0.698633 1.652437 3.609660 7.760265
2026-01-18 0.032203 0.100498 0.272870 0.705388 1.702366 3.782733 8.260764
2026-01-25 0.029512 0.095268 0.265781 0.703578 1.732999 3.917730 8.691620